The Index, comprising four components - tax burden, initial unemployment claims, real wages and real home prices - rose to 2.94 percent, from an upwardly revised gain of 2.39 percent a month ago.
"The recent incentives for autos and housing indicate that consumers are willing to purchase when given a great deal," said Stacy Janiak, vice chairman and U.S. Retail leader, Deloitte LLP. "We are seeing various consumer-facing companies, including retailers, hotels and eating establishments pick up on this trend. These pricing strategies will likely help win over certain shoppers during the important year-end holidays. Retailers, however, should also be taking a longer view. Remaining relevant to customers - with the right products and services - will likely be important for growth, particularly if today's downshift in spending continues in some form."
Highlights of the Index include:
Tax Burden: The tax burden continues to fall with the weakening of the economy and the distribution of tax rebates. At 9 percent of personal income, the average tax rate is lower than at any time in the past 50 years.
Initial Unemployment Claims: Claims have dropped sharply since their peak in March. Monthly claims are now below 600,000. A sustained decline in initial unemployment claims is typically an early sign of a recovery in the economy.
Real Wages: Real wage growth continues to post small gains due in large part to falling prices for energy. Real wages are up 5.1 percent from a year ago, the largest year over year gain in more than 50 years.
Real Home Prices: Home prices continue to fall but at a much slower pace. Tax credits for home buyers coupled with low home prices and interest rates are bringing demand back to the market.