That's bad news for American drivers. If gas prices catch up to oil's 70% rise since this time last year, national average prices at the pump could pass $5 per gallon and move near $6. "And what happens if oil prices keep rising - which they inevitably will?" asks King. "Your next trip home for Easter dinner in 2009 could set you back $7-8 per gallon."
Motor fuel already costs up to $8 or so per gallon in Britain and Germany, although much of the price is fuel tax. A fill up in Europe can easily cost $100 or more. If gas were to double in the U.S. - American fuel would still be cheap compared with the rest of the world.
According to King, "Politicians promise relief. But they really can't do a thing. Most of the world's oil is located outside of the U.S., and much of that is in places not known to be friendly with America. So if the U.S. wants to burn oil, it has to pay for it. And you cannot blame the refiners who do not want to run their operations at a loss. So high costs for oil will eventually be felt at the pump."