Many retailers in Fitch's U.S. retail coverage have curbed capital spending and share repurchases from highs seen in 2007 to preserve liquidity. Nonetheless, the combination of pressured revenue, intensified promotional activity and high costs related to energy and commodities is expected to further stress retail operating profit margins in 2008.
From a credit perspective, Fitch views the ratings across its U.S. retail coverage as generally stable in 2008 given issuer efforts to manage through the macroeconomic weakness to preserve revenues, profits, and cash flow. However, there is more downside rating risk than upside rating potential, particularly in the more discretionary department store and specialty retail sectors, and for high yield credits. Fitch also expects a rise in the number of retailer bankruptcies, as already evidenced by the recent filing of Chapter 11 by Linens 'n Things and among home furnishing retailers.