Until recently, there had been a lot of speculation on Wall Street that the Federal Open Market Committee would reduce the federal funds rate sometime in 2007 -- maybe in the first half of the year. Investors and economists figured that a rate cut in 2007 was possible because the economy is slowing, led by falling house sales and a dwindling pace of residential construction.
Don't count on a rate cut, Fed officials have said in the past week and a half. In fact, they implied, another rate increase is more likely than a decrease.
Investors took notice of the Fed bankers' warnings. Their caution about inflation - and implicit warnings that a Fed rate cut is unlikely to happen soon - caused bond yields to rise, and mortgage rates followed.
Fixed mortgage rates are higher than one year ago. At the time, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.10 percent, meaning that the monthly payment on a loan of $165,000 was $999.89. With the average 30-year fixed rate now 6.42 percent, the same loan originated today would carry a monthly payment of $1034.25. Fixed mortgage rates are a compelling refinancing alternative for adjustable rate borrowers facing sharp payment adjustments.
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Bankrate's national weekly mortgage survey is conducted each Wednesday from data provided by the top 10 banks and thrifts in the top 10 markets.