The Index is the sum of the “present situation” (previous 12 months) and “future expectations” (next 12 months) of business owners for six key measures, including financial situation, cash flow, revenues, capital spending allocation, job hiring and credit availability.
The present situation declined slightly to negative 14 (-14) from negative 10 (-10) driven primarily by declines in financial situation and cash flows. The present situation score has been in negative territory since the first quarter of 2009.
Despite an eight percentage point decrease from 22 in January to 14, the future expectations component of the Index remains in positive territory. The decline was driven by decreased expectations for financial situation and cash flows.
“Business owners entered the New Year with increasing optimism, but it appears that slow economic growth is interfering with that momentum,” said Doug Case, Wells Fargo small business segment manager. ”Without clear signs of sustained economic growth, businesses remain cautious, and that caution translates into reduced hiring and expansion.”
Present Situation (past 12 months)
- Financial Situation – 47% rated their current financial situation as very or somewhat good, down from 53% in Q1; additionally 33% rated their current financial situation very or somewhat poor, up from 27% in Q1.
- Cash Flow – 38% rated their company’s cash flow as very or somewhat good, down from 43% in Q1; additionally 38% rated their cash flow as very or somewhat poor, up from 33% in Q1
Future Expectations (next 12 months)
- Financial Situation – 58% expect their company’s financial situation to be very or somewhat good, down from 65% in Q1; additionally 22% expect their company’s financial situation to be very or somewhat poor, up from 17% in Q1
- Cash Flow – 27% expect that their company’s cash flow will be very or somewhat poor, up from 22% in Q1
“Wells Fargo is committed to supporting business owners through the challenges and opportunities they face as a result of the economic environment,” said Case.