The 16 month-long decline in the Employment Trends Index (ETI)™ is seen in all eight of its components, most notably over the past six months in temporary-help hires and part-time workers for economic reasons, notes Levanon.
The Employment Trends Index (ETI)™ aggregates eight labor-market indicators, each of which has proven accurate in its own area. Aggregating individual indicators into a composite index filters out so-called "noise" to show underlying trends more clearly.
The eight labor-market indicators aggregated into the Employment Trends Index (ETI)™ include:
* Percentage of respondents who say they find "Jobs Hard to Get" (The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey)
* Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance (U.S. Department of Labor)
* Percentage of Firms With Positions Not Able to Fill Right Now (National Federation of Independent Business)
* Number of employees hired by the temporary-help industry (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics)
* Part-time Workers for Economic Reasons (BLS)
* Job Openings (BLS)
* Industrial Production (Federal Reserve Board)
* Real Manufacturing and Trade Sales (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis)