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U.S. Consumers' Confidence Shaken by Financial Upheaval
added: 2007-08-28

IBISWorld, Inc., released a Special Report detailing which U.S. industries are most vulnerable to an ongoing erosion in consumer confidence in the foreseeable future.

According to IBISWorld special report, the stock market's recent volatility was induced by the meltdown of the residential mortgage lending market, coupled by home price depreciation in some key markets. "Both have taken its toll on consumer confidence in real estate, one of the most significant indicators of strength or weakness in the U.S. economy," said Rick Buczynski, Ph.D., senior vice president and chief economist, IBISWorld. "In mid-August, the well respected University of Michigan consumer sentiment preliminary index slipped to 83.3 from 90.4 in July - a fall of 7.9 percent."

Following months of sub-prime mortgage lenders shuttering their operations, a sharp decline in home prices in some key markets around the country, along with a dramatic increase in the number of foreclosures nationwide, the only recent bright news in the mortgage industry came last week when Countrywide, the nation's largest mortgage originator, announced with Bank of America, the nation's largest retail bank, plans for Bank of America to acquire a $2 billion stake in Countrywide.

While Bank of America saw the alliance with Countrywide as an opportunity to continue doing what it does best in meeting the needs of its retail savings and consumer account holders, the $2 billion deal with Countrywide provided an immediate solution to the cash crunch that threatened it's lead in the mortgage origination business, a business Bank of American until now has struggled to grow in competition with Washington Mutual, Wells Fargo, Countrywide, and Indymac Bank, among others.

"While $2 billion dollars is a drop in the bucket from a credit risk perspective," said Dr. Buczynski. "It is a huge signal of confidence for consumers and Wall Street lenders. In the days leading to the Bank of American and Countrywide alliance, Countrywide was loosing depositors and their loan origination business was grinding to a halt."

"Ironically, the Conference Board's consumer confidence index released on July 31, before the financial calamity, hit a six-year high. The pervasive expectation now is that the Conference Board's consumer confidence index will probably move in lock-step with the Michigan Index when their survey results are released today."


Source: PR Newswire

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